With the assistance of Russian
airstrikes, President Bashar Assad's forces are pressing ahead with a major
offensive around the northern city of Aleppo, a development that has sent
another wave of Syrian civilians seeking refugee in neighboring Turkey.
Aleppo was Syria's largest city and
an economic hub before the war, though many civilians have fled as it has
become one of the most contested battlegrounds. For the past several years,
government troops have controlled the western part and a patchwork of rebel
forces have held the east.
The government forces began their
push in recent months after Russia's military intervened on Assad's behalf. The
Syrian army has cut a crucial rebel supply line to Turkey. This has stoked
fears that the army is looking to surround the rebels and impose a siege on
them and the hundreds of thousands of civilians in that part of the city.
The Aleppo fighting also contributed
to suspension of Syrian peace talks in Geneva on Thursday. The Assad government
has little incentive to negotiate at a time when it's making gains on the
battlefield, and the rebels argue that Assad is not serious about negotiations.
The government's battlefield
momentum elated its supporters. Residents in the towns of Nubol and Zahraa,
near Aleppo, rejoiced as Syrian troops entered. The two Shiite towns were long
cut off from other government territories. They had survived a siege that
lasted three years, depending on government airdrops of food and supplies and
rare transactions with a neighboring Kurdish enclave. The Syrian government
pointed to conditions in these areas as a motivation for the current offensive.
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But those on the losing side have
begun to flee. A video posted by the Shahba Press Agency, which is
aligned with the opposition, showed what aid agencies numbered at thousands of
men, women, children and elderly massing at the Turkish border, some still
running with their possessions. Local journalists say most of the families had
already been displaced by government bombardments, and for years had been
living in camps near the northern border.
Activists say those camps were long
considered a safe zone for their proximity to Turkey, and to its Patriot
missile systems deployed by NATO allies in 2013. Last year, the US and Germany
decided to pull their Patriot systems from Turkey. Since then, hostilities have
increased along the border. In late November 2015, Turkey's air force shot down
a Russian jet, one of two crafts which it said violated its airspace. Moscow
denies the planes crossed into Turkey or were given warnings.
And this week, activists published
photos showing displaced persons' camps that had been abandoned in northern
Syria. Cushions were scattered and tents were still smoldering in the wake of
alleged government and Russian bombardments.
The United Nations condemned the
airstrikes north of Aleppo and called for safe passage for civilians and aid
workers. Turkey, under pressure to stem the flow of migrants to Europe, has
kept its border shut in the face of the growing crowds.
Aid agencies say the loss of the
main Aleppo-Turkey route has severely hampered aid deliveries to rebel-held
parts of Aleppo and surrounding areas. Mercy Corps says its operations in
northern Syria have effectively been cut in half, leaving hundreds of thousands
of people cut off from food aid.
A man stands in the debris of a
building Friday after an airstrike allegedly carried out by the Russian miliary
in a part of Aleppo controlled by the Syrian opposition.
A rebel offensive in Aleppo in the
summer of 2012 split the city in half. The government responded with airstrikes
and crude barrel bombs. The government-held side in the west comes under fire
from mortars and improvised rockets. Residents on both sides face regular power
and water shortages.
Aleppo's rebel half in the east is
not fully encircled — so far. Residents still have a path to Turkey through
Idlib province to the west. But that is also under threat.
Syrian state media and the Syrian
Observatory for Human Rights say that government forces and allied Shiite
militiamen overran two more towns north of Aleppo in the past two days. Those
forces are edging closer to squeezing off the rebels' last lifeline in and out
of Aleppo.
Aleppo journalist Mohammed al-Khatieb
told NPR that rebel reinforcements have begun shoring up defenses of the last
outlet to Turkey. But he offered a sober assessment of the future.
"The rebels have light weapons
and they are facing literal armies: Iran, Russia, the [Syrian] regime,
Hezbollah ... ISIS," he said. "They're up against warplanes and
surface-to-surface missiles. And meanwhile Turkey won't even let in the
refugees. How do you think it's going to go?"
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